Rising · capacity tight
Commercial auto / excess auto
The most reliably underserved large casualty class in 2026. Rates still +8% to +15%. Excess auto is contracting, HNOA is difficult, and nuclear-verdict trucking venues are not attracting the capital that flooded cyber.
- CRC: excess auto capacity continues to contract; layered placements are the norm.
- Industry outlooks still print +8% to +15% on commercial auto for 2026.
- Bodily injury severity and nuclear verdicts, not frequency, are the driver.